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Nonostante rimanga rialzista nel lungo periodo sul bitcoin, il direttore della ricerca di Forbes Crypto ha spiegato perché la criptovaluta potrebbe continuare a ritracciare nel breve termine.

Le istituzioni che prendono profitti e l’aumento dei tassi di interesse hanno spinto il Crypto Trader verso il basso nell’ultima settimana, ha detto il direttore della ricerca di Forbes Crypto – Steven Ehrlich.

Contemporaneamente, ha delineato la crescente adozione di Ethereum tra le istituzioni e il ruolo che gioca dietro DeFi e NFT come le ragioni principali per cui ETH ha superato BTC lo scorso anno e continua a farlo nel 2021.

La corsa di Bitcoin è in fase di esaurimento

Da ottobre 2020, la criptovaluta primaria è stata su un rotolo che ha visto il suo prezzo espandersi di circa sei volte fino a un nuovo record di tutti i tempi registrato a metà marzo a 61.800 dollari. Solo da un anno all’altro, il BTC è aumentato di circa l’80%.

Tuttavia, questa corsa impressionante sembra in pausa al momento, dato che il bitcoin ha perso circa 10.000 dollari di valore e ieri è arrivato vicino a rompere sotto i 50.000 dollari.

Il direttore della ricerca di Forbes Crypto ha toccato il ciclo in corso di BTC e ha detto che l’asset potrebbe essere in una sorta di fase di „esaurimento“. Crede che alcuni degli investitori istituzionali che sono entrati nel mercato negli ultimi mesi abbiano deciso di prendere alcuni profitti dal tavolo.

Tuttavia, vede una minaccia ancora più potenzialmente dannosa con l’aumento dei tassi di interesse:

„Ogni volta che i tassi di interesse salgono, questo rende i prodotti di investimento a reddito fisso relativamente più vantaggiosi per gli investitori perché hanno un profilo di rischio più basso“.

Ha aggiunto che mentre il bitcoin è „promosso“ come un bene rifugio, tende a scambiare recentemente come strumenti di investimento più rischiosi, come le azioni.

Tuttavia, Ehrich rimane rialzista sul BTC nel medio e lungo termine, nonostante preveda un ritracciamento a breve termine.

Perché ETH supera BTC?

Mentre il BTC ha guadagnato l’80% dall’inizio dell’anno, la seconda criptovaluta più grande è in rialzo di oltre il 110%. Inoltre, ETH ha anche sovraperformato il bitcoin l’anno scorso.

Ehlrich ha attribuito la migliore performance di Ethereum a due ragioni principali: l’adozione istituzionale e l’utilizzo della sua rete.

Come riportato in precedenza, gli investitori istituzionali hanno aumentato il loro appetito verso ETH, mentre alcune aziende lo hanno anche messo nei loro bilanci.

La blockchain di Ethereum è la tecnologia sottostante a due delle manie più popolari nella comunità cripto – la finanza decentralizzata (DeFi) e i token non fungibili (NFT).

Mentre il crescente utilizzo della rete Ethereum crea problemi propri, questo utilizzo rende la criptovaluta nativa ancora più attraente per i nuovi investitori.

Les grands investisseurs ont empilé l’éther alors que les prix ont atteint un niveau record

Les données de la chaîne suggèrent que des mains fortes ont soutenu le rallye de l’éther pour atteindre des sommets records.

Des mains fortes semblent avoir soutenu le récent rallye vers des records pour la cryptocarte de l’éther d’Ethereum.

Le nombre d’adresses de baleines (celles qui détiennent au moins 10 000 ETH (-4,56%)) a fait un bond de 13 mois pour atteindre 1 103 samedi, selon les données de la société d’analyse Bitcoin Bank de chaînes de blocs Glassnode. Plus de 35 adresses de baleines ont été créées ce mois-ci seulement, et 75 depuis la mi-novembre.

L’accumulation accrue par des investisseurs aux poches bien garnies pourrait avoir exercé une pression à la hausse sur le prix de l’éther.

Adresses d’éther contenant plus de 10 000 pièces

La deuxième plus grande devise de cryptologie en valeur de marché a atteint un record de 1 450 dollars dimanche dernier et a été vue pour la dernière fois en train de changer de mains près de 1 405 dollars, ce qui représente un gain de 90 % sur une base annuelle, selon les données du CoinDesk 20.

Les petits investisseurs ont également participé au rallye. Tant le nombre d’adresses non nulles que les adresses détenant au moins 0,1 ETH ont atteint des records.

Si les données sur la chaîne sont encourageantes pour les taureaux d’éther, il convient de tirer les conclusions des mesures axées sur les changements de croissance des adresses avec prudence, car un seul utilisateur peut contrôler plusieurs adresses. Toutefois, les données semblent indiquer un afflux d’argent sur le marché de l’éther, probablement par l’intermédiaire d’investisseurs nouveaux et existants.

Pénurie de l’offre ?

Les données montrent également que l’éther quitte les bourses centralisées, ce qui pourrait créer une pénurie d’offre et faciliter un mouvement haussier plus fort, selon un analyste.

Le nombre de pièces détenues sur les bourses est tombé à 15 469 582 au cours du week-end, le plus bas niveau depuis octobre 2019. Le solde des échanges a diminué de plus d’un million au cours des quatre derniers jours seulement.

De ser o terceiro negócio mais concorrido em dezembro, o “long bitcoin” subiu rapidamente ao primeiro lugar, de acordo com uma pesquisa do Bank of America.

Negociando acima de US $ 35.000, o Bitcoin continua ultrapassando marco após marco, já que os relatórios mostram que a criptomoeda recebeu a maior entrada de capital este mês em comparação com ações de tecnologia e investimentos tradicionais.

Bitcoin longo vence comércio mais concorrido

Uma pesquisa recente conduzida pelo Bank of America em gestores de fundos com mais de US $ 500 bilhões em AUM revela que os investidores estão otimistas com o preço do Bitcoin no longo prazo.

O estudo mostra que “long bitcoin” destronou “long tech” como o comércio mais congestionado em janeiro de 2021.

A Reuters informou na terça-feira que esta é a primeira vez que uma posição comprada em empresas de tecnologia está perdendo a primeira posição desde outubro. Esta também é a primeira vez que o “long bitcoin” alcançou o primeiro lugar nos mercados financeiros.

O marco está chegando apenas três meses depois que menos de 5% dos participantes da pesquisa de novembro votaram em „bitcoin longo“ como negociação preferencial, com mais de 65% dos gestores de fundos escolhendo „tecnologia longa“.

Uma pesquisa anterior conduzida pelo BofA mostrou que o „bitcoin longo“ subiu para as três principais negociações preferenciais em dezembro, uma vez que os gestores de fundos o nomearam como o „terceiro negócio mais concorrido“.

Embora os investidores estejam otimistas com o Bitcoin, os comerciantes ainda estão perdendo a fé no dólar americano, pois continuam a apostar contra ele

A pesquisa coloca “short USD” como a terceira negociação mais movimentada do mês, apenas um ponto abaixo de sua posição anterior. Foi o segundo comércio mais movimentado em dezembro.

Conforme relatado anteriormente, uma razão para as críticas ao dólar americano é a onda de impressão de dinheiro do FED durante o pico da pandemia COVID-19 no ano passado, que supostamente viu a criação de quase 20% de todos os dólares americanos existentes.

Os investidores argumentam que a ação do FED é uma receita para a inflação, com muitos economistas prevendo que o valor do USD cairia. Para se proteger contra a suposta condenação do dólar iminente, investidores e instituições que buscam preservar sua riqueza escolheram o Bitcoin, que acabou sendo uma vitória para eles até agora.

De nieuwste crypto-stimulans (of DeFi-stimulanscheck, om nauwkeuriger te zijn) is zojuist gevallen.

Badger DAO, een Bitcoin-georiënteerd gedecentraliseerd financieel project gebaseerd op Ethereum, heeft zojuist een nieuwe munt uitgerold genaamd DIGG. BADGER, het governance token voor het protocol, bestaat al.

DIGG is een nieuwe token die werkt zoals Ampleforth, een aanbod-elastische cryptocurrency die zijn aanbod verandert op basis van de prijs van de munt op elk moment. In plaats van gekoppeld te zijn aan een dollar, koppelt DIGG aan de prijs van één Bitcoin. Hoewel dit klinkt als een kleine nuance, hebben velen in de DeFi ruimte gezegd dat deze verandering kan resulteren in meer reflexiviteit in de prijsactie van de munt.

Dat gezegd hebbende, werd DIGG verdeeld onder gebruikers van het Badger DAO protocol op een semi-kwadratische basis op deze drie sleutelfactoren:

BADGER gestaked in het protocol.

DIGGER verdiend door de gebruiker. BADGER kon en kan nog steeds worden verdiend door gebruikers door liquiditeit te storten in het protocol voor farming doeleinden.
Hoeveel BADGER de gebruiker heeft verdiend in verhouding tot de munten die hij heeft ingezet.

Wat de semi-quadratische basis betreft, dit werd gedaan om de verdeling van DIGG eerlijker te maken:

„Andere details met betrekking tot de verdeling werden uiteengezet in de BIP 14 forumpost, met inbegrip van het gebruik van een 1,75 wortel toegepast op de Verdiende Beloningen om de relatieve verdeling te bepalen. Het doel is om de DIGG-vermogensverdeling meer gelijk te maken onder de Badger-gebruikers, wat DIGG als product ten goede komt door het vergroten van zijn opslagcapaciteit voor waarde. Sybil-weerstandsmaatregelen zijn ook geïmplementeerd om misbruik van het distributiemodel te voorkomen.“

Terwijl DIGG wordt gedistribueerd aan alle gebruikers van het protocol, lijkt de markt het te omarmen.

Sinds de munt een uur geleden werd gelanceerd, heeft de markt de prijs opgelopen tot 3,5 BTC, of meer dan $100.000. Sindsdien is hij gezakt naar $45.000, wat betekent dat één DIGG op dit moment meer waard is dan één Bitcoin.

Gebruikers kunnen hun DIGG inzetten in de Badger DAO om verdere DIGG te verdienen, samen met Badger beloningen in sommige pools.

Hoewel dit niet precies zoals de UNI airdrop was, waar de meeste gebruikers minstens $1.500 aan Uniswap-munt kregen, zijn er veel gebruikers die melden dat ze duizenden dollars aan DIGG ontvingen in de airdrop. Sommigen grapten zelfs dat ze het equivalent van een jaarsalaris in DIGG hebben ontvangen.

The institutional stock exchange Bakkt wants to be listed on the stock exchange via detours.

The Intercontinental Exchange, the owner of the New York Stock Exchange and the institutional cryptocurrency exchange Bakkt, announced that their crypto branch could go public

As the Wall Street Journal reported , Bakkt will merge with VPC Impact Acquisition Holdings. The company is traded under the symbol VIH. VPC is a so-called „Special Purpose Acquisition Company“ or SPAC. In German this means something like „company for purposeful purchases“. It is a shell company whose sole purpose is to buy or merge with another company in order to be listed on the stock exchange. The aim is to avoid the lengthy and expensive process of an IPO.

Bakkt is expected to be valued at $ 2.1 billion after the merger

The exchange will also raise an additional $ 532 million to support the development of the Bakkt app. This is a retail-focused wallet and reward app.

A Bakkt spokesman told Cointelegraph that the merger is expected to complete in the second quarter of 2021. The combined company will be renamed Bakkt Holdings, Inc. and listed on the NYSE. The representative also said Bakkt was now focused on bringing the app to market in March.

There were rumors of the takeover back in January, as Cointelegraph reported. Bakkt has seen a surge in volume this year and multiple records in a row . Nonetheless, it has a much smaller crypto market presence than its rival CME.

Ethereum (ETH) was invented by Vitalik Buterin and is a large blockchain for smart contracts, dapps and even token creations. The picture shows a metal coin of Ethereum in front of a price curve.
The Ethereum price is on the heels of Bitcoin’s record-breaking upward movement in recent weeks. The largest altcoin, with a market cap of $ 115 billion, is up nearly 50% in the past week, breaking the magical $ 1,000 mark.

The Ethereum course is currently showing its strong side. The last time this price level was reached was in February 2018. At that time, the Ethereum price reached its previous all-time high of almost USD 1,450.

Ethereum is facing a big change

Due to the strong volatility of the Bitcoin price, the Ethereum price is currently fluctuating around USD 1,000. Since the sharp drop in March 2020, the ETH price has risen by more than 900% and has therefore outperformed BTC.

At this point, it should not be forgotten that the risk with Ethereum is much higher than with Bitcoin. This is not only due to the high dependency on BTC, but also to the update to Ethereum 2.0, which should be completed in the next few years.

In doing so, ETH will switch from the Proof-of-Work (PoW) to the Proof-of-Stake (PoS) consensus algorithm. The danger does not only exist with the change itself, but also with the greater uncertainty caused by PoS. Nobody currently knows whether the security around Ethereum and the values that are stored in the various smart contracts will be sufficient.

DeFi TVL at ETH continues to increase massively

Almost 18 billion USD are currently deposited in the various DeFi applications on ETH. This is also one of the possible reasons why the Ethereum price has soared.

If this value continues to rise, the Ethereum price should also follow suit. At least there has been a strong correlation in the past.

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Ethereum with a lot of potential

In addition, ETH is to become deflationary through a new EIP (Ethereum Improvement Proposal). With the EIP 1559 , part of the transaction fees will be destroyed forever and thus the number of ETHs will be reduced in the long term.

Still, Ethereum doesn’t have a maximum number like Bitcoin. It is therefore still unclear how the number of ETHs in circulation will develop in the future. The inflation rate could change in the future. Therefore, Ethereum is not a store of value and has different properties than Bitcoin.

Whether the Ethereum price will reach its old all-time high again and perhaps march towards USD 2,000 or even USD 3,000 cannot currently be foreseen. However, with the increasing interest in DeFi, Ethereum should also get attention.

In addition, many new investors are currently entering the cryptospace and are often oriented towards Coinmarketcap and Co. Therefore, it is to be expected that a lot of fresh money will flow into ETH. We are curious how the Ethereum course will perform in the next weeks and months and will keep you up to date.

It was a hit again this week. The UK-based cryptocurrency exchange EXMO was hacked. In total the company lost 6% of the assets entrusted to the platform by clients, $4 million of which was stolen via Poloniex.

Exactly how much value the company lost Profit Revolution is still unknown. EXMO has already stated in a statement that it is not possible to retrieve the cryptocurrencies stolen via Poloniex.

EXMO has now reassured the affected users that they will repay everything.
Investigation into EXMO hack by police
The exact cause of the EXMO hack is not yet known, but the police investigation has started. The tricky thing about exchange hacks is that, in principle, of course, nothing can be ruled out.

The company is going to screen the entire system and all security processes to find out where the problem lies. Preparations have now started to get the exchange up and running again. However, it will be a long time before customers of the platform fully trust it again.

This hack is further proof that it is not a good idea to keep your bitcoin on an exchange. For many beginners, it is ideal to take their first steps into the landscape via an exchange. But after a while, it is better to take your bitcoin into your own hands.

Certainly not the last exchange hack
The EXMO hack is not the first and certainly not the last exchange to face these problems. Bitcoin is designed to manage your assets independently of third parties. Bitcoin is money based on mathematics and game theory instead of trust.

By leaving your bitcoin with an exchange, you bring the element of trust back into the equation. In the first instance, you have to trust the exchange itself, which in most cases is not the problem.

The greatest danger lies in the enormous amounts of bitcoin that exchanges manage, making them a popular target for hackers. For your own good it is so valuable to sit down and protect your digital assets.

Elon Musk makes advances in the direction of a billion dollar Bitcoin investment and promptly receives free advice from MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor on Twitter.

Two people looked for each other and found each other: A lively Bitcoin debate broke out on Twitter between Tesla CEO Elon Musk and MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor, which made waves in the crypto space. Michael Saylor used a suggestive post from Musk for free investment advice.

To the crypto compass magazine

Saylor’s “insider tip”:

If you want to do your shareholders a $ 100 billion favor, convert the $ TSLA balance sheet from USD to BTC.

According to Saylor, the charisma of a Tesla entry into Bitcoin could also entice other S&P500 companies to invest, thereby boosting BTC market capitalization and quickly increasing the value of a USD 100 billion investment by ten times.

The simple calculation finally worked out in the case of MicroStrategy: Since the listed software company shifted around $ 475 million of its cash reserves into BTC, the investment in the course of the Bitcoin Bull Run has reached a current value of over 958 million US dollars more than doubled.

Musk, who is not a blank slate when it comes to crypto currencies, then joined the discussion again and asked Saylor whether transactions of this magnitude were even possible.

Saylor’s answer was not long in coming. An unequivocal: Yes. He himself has invested 1.3 billion US dollars in Bitcoin in the last few months and would like to share his “playbook” with Musk, from one rocket scientist to another.

Tesla soon to be Bitcoin Hodler?

It remains to be seen how serious Musk’s statements are. The Tesla and SpaceX CEO often uses irony as a stylistic device on the short message platform. Nevertheless: A BTC entry is actually not completely excluded. Musk has already expressed his admiration for digital gold in the past and, as the proud owner of – after all – 0.25 BTC, already belongs to the Hodler class . He also has to repeatedly serve as a potential CEO candidate for the MemeCoin project Dogecoin .

The balance sheet also confirms MicroStrategy’s investment strategy and could follow Musk’s words with deeds. A former project by the bustling businessman, PayPal, has finally opened up to the Bitcoin economy as well. Not unlikely that Tesla could follow suit. The right Bitcoin ATM is already there in the Gigafactory in Nevada .

The correlation between Bitcoin (BTC) and the S&P 500 has hit a 10-month low.

Historically, this is a bullish sign for the dominant cryptocurrency.

A low correlation with the S&P 500 is a bullish factor for Bitcoin because it means that BTC is not lagging the broader risk market. Santiment analysts:

„The correlation between #Bitcoin and #SP500 $SPX is great for identifying when $BTC can fluctuate independently of traditional markets. We’ve found that #crypto is at its best when this correlation is low… and our 30-day correlation model shows it’s at a 10-month low.“

The correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500.

Why bitcoin is likely to outperform the S&P 500 over the medium term

Bitcoin’s correlation with the S&P 500 could fall or remain low in the short term for two reasons.

First, the U.S. stock market could correct in a take-profit pullback while Bitcoin continues to rally.

Second, the U.S. stock market could rise in tandem with BTC, but Bitcoin is posting a larger gain over a longer period of time.

Major investment banks like JPMorgan believe the U.S. stock market is in the midst of a bull run. Strategists say U.S. stocks could suffer a setback in January if equities continue to gel.

Nonetheless, strategists expect momentum in stocks to spill over into 2021. If so, the latter scenario is more likely, in which Bitcoin would need to outperform the S&P 500 to maintain a low correlation.

The post-halving cycle remains the most compelling case for a sustained Bitcoin uptrend in 2021, which could allow BTC to outperform the S&P 500.

By way of background, Bitcoin goes through a block reward bisection every four years. The last two halvings occurred in 2012 and 2016, and after each halving, the BTC price rose over a long period of time.

A Block Reward has historically had a positive impact on the price of Bitcoin by affecting its scarcity. After each halving of the Block Reward, the amount of BTC that miners can mine decreases. Consequently, there is a smaller number of BTC produced each day. Since the supply of BTC is fixed, this makes BTC scarcer.

Bitcoin tends to recover for 12 to 15 months after each halving. Considering that the last halving occurred in May 2020, BTC could recover by mid-2021 if the bull cycles of the past continue.

The price of bitcoin.

Key technical levels in the near term

In the near term, the $19,400 resistance level remains the key technical level.

Bitcoin has recently corrected to $17,600 after failing three consecutive tests to rise above $19,400.

If bitcoin price rises and stays above $19,400, it would increase the likelihood of another rally above the all-time high.

Whales and miners have sold off heavily in the last two weeks, and the possibility of wealthy investors getting in above $20,000 is also strengthening.